Only trace rainfall will occur in the evening hours at Nagpur on the India Independence day 2013.
Milind Phadke
+919890317557
milind1966@gmail.com
Wednesday, August 14, 2013
Thursday, July 25, 2013
RESPITE IN RAINFALL FOR FOUR DAYS IN THE NAGPUR REGION
THE RAINS ARE TAKING A SHORT PERIOD OF REST FROM Sat. 27th JULY (A/N) BEFORE AGAIN; NOW UNPLEASANT; REVIVAL FROM 01st AUG.
HOW EVER GOOD AMOUNT OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN NEXT 48 hrs STARTING TODAY A/N.
THE 25-26 & 26-27 OVERNIGHT RAINS WILL ONLY ADD TO THE ALREADY EXCESS RAINS IN THE REGION ADDING TO THE WOES AND WORRIES OF WET DROUGHT IN THE REGION.(The pics here may or may-NOT have relevant references)
Milind Phadke,
+919890317557
milind1966@gmail.com
Friday, July 19, 2013
CAT Jabalpur Case--DAS Committee report to be implemented in six months
TH
More updates as and when they are received.
Milind Phadke
+919890317557
milind1966@gmail.com
Monday, July 15, 2013
RAINFALL IN NAGPUR & VIDARBHA IN THE THIRD WEEK OF JULY 2013
DUE TO THE LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE BAY OF BENGAL (N/NW) AND A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO LASH THE VIDARBHA REGION, MANY A TIMES HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY.
THE RAINS STARTING 17th EVENING WILL CONTINUE WELL PAST MIDNIGHT TILL EARLY MORNING OF 18th, TAKE A BREAK AND AGAIN MAKE THEIR PRESENCE FEEL ON 19th AND 20th INTERMITTENTLY FOR THE WHOLE DAY.
THE SUNDAY MOOD WILL ALSO WILL BE SPOILED IN THE EVENING TIME WITH RAINS.
ALL IN ALL, THE QUANTITY OF RAIN WILL NOT BE AS MAGNIFICANT AS THAT OF YESTERDAY'S/TODAY'S RAIN, BUT IT WILL SURELY BE A WET WEEK WITH MOST OF THE TIME OVERCAST SKIES.
Milind Phadke
+919890317557
milind1966@gmail.com
Sunday, July 7, 2013
RAINFALL IN THE FIRST WEEK OF 'AASHAADH' MONTH AT NAGPUR
THE 'AASHAAD' & 'SHRAAVAN' MONTHS IN THE HINDU CALENDAR (ALMANAC) GIVES RAINS ACROSS INDIA; AS MUCH AS 80% OF THE TOTAL MONSOON RAINS OCCUR IN THESE TWO MONTHS.
THE 'AASHAAD' IS STARTING FROM TUESDAY AND THE NAGPUR WHICH WAS POISED FOR A PLEASANT WEEKEND (THE END OF 'JYESHTHA' MONTH), THE
NAGPUR SKIES, TODAY; ARE SLATED TO BE CONVECTIVE AND PRECIPITATE; HEAVILY IN SOME PARTS
OF CITY AS THE LARGE AND TOWERING CUMULOUS SEEN FROM THE MORNING, IS SLOWLY
BUILDING UP AND THE SUPPLY OF HEAT; FROM THE GROUND; DUE TO RADIATION;
CONTINUES.
BY THE DAY END; IT WILL HAVE SUFFICIENT ENERGY TO GIVE
THUNDER/LIGHTENING IN THE EVENING HOURS; TODAY.
THE NEXT WEEK WILL BE WET AS
WELL; BECAUSE RAINFALL WILL OCCUR DAILY; MOSTLY DURING EVENING/LATE
EVENING/NIGHT HOURS.
THE DRY BULB TEMP TO REMAIN 30Deg Cel AND ABOVE WITH
HUMIDITY(Rel) 80% OR MORE, WE MAY ENTER INTO BREAK-MONSOON PHASE IN THE COMING WEEK/S.
THE PICTURE IS MORE OR LESS THE SAME IN OTHER PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIA (250 Km
radius from Nagpur).
SOME FAIR WEATHER CONDITION ON 13th AND 14th
JULY 2013 (the atmospheric instability is reducing) AT NAGPUR, WILL AGAIN MAKE
WEEKEND ENJOYABLE.
Milind Phadke
+919890317557
milind1966@gmail.com
Wednesday, June 26, 2013
ANOTHER SPELL OF REDUCED RAIN IN NAGPUR REGION
AFTER RAINING HEAVILY FOR ALMOST TWO DAYS NOW, THE RAINS WILL REDUCE IN THE NEXT WEEK AND THE MAX TEMP WILL RISE BY ABOUT 7-8 Deg CEL WITH HUMIDITY (RELATIVE) AROUND 60-70%.
THE 187.4 mm RAINFALL RECORDED AT NAGPUR IN LAST 24 hrs IS ALMOST EQUIVALENT TO MONTHLY TOTAL R/F FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE, THOUGH NOT HIGHEST IN 24 hrs.
SINCE THE LOW PR AREA IS SHIFTING NW wards, THERE WILL BE REDUCED R/F ACTIVITY FROM 27th A/F TILL NEXT TUESDAY, WITH OCCASIONAL FEW DROPS OF RAIN (REMEMBER this is monsoon season) till 30TH JUNE.
THIS WILL LEAVE SOME TIME FOR THE FARMERS TO SOW THE SEEDS IN THEIR FIELDS, FOR WHICH IT IS THE RIPE TIME NOW.
THE ADVANCEMENT OF MONSOON COVERING ENTIRE INDIA IN ABOUT 20 DAYS, IS UNUSUAL THOUGH IN THIS DECADE, IS ALSO A PHENOMENA FOR RE SEARCHING, WHERE A SHIFTING (delaying Onset) OF MONSOON; AND SO THE SOWING SEASONS; WAS NOTICEABLE.
I REMEMBER IN PAIN ALL THOSE WHO LEFT FOR HEAVENLY ABODE IN THE MAYHEM IN UTTARKHAND. INTERESTINGLY GOOGLE'S CONTRIBUTION (in the following link) IS PRAISE WORTHY. :- http://www.google.org/crisisresponse/uttarakhand-flood-2013.html
Milind Phadke
+919890317557
milind1966@gmail.com
Sunday, June 16, 2013
RECEDING RAIN IN VIDARBHA IN THE SECOND WEEK OF MONSOON 2013
THE INTENSITY OF RAINFALL AS WELL AS THE
QUANTITY OF RAINFALL WILL REDUCE IN THE NEXT WEEK OVER VID AS A WHOLE.
QUANTITATIVELY THE RAINS WILL MAKE FEEL THEIR PRESENCE ON & OFF, REMINDING
US THAT WE ARE ENTERING INTO THE SECOND/THIRD WEEK OF MONSOON.
HOWEVER THE
NAGPUR SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOUDY AND WE WILL GET SOME RESPITE FROM VERY
GOOD FIRST SPELL OF RAINS AT NAGPUR.
THE FIGUREWISE ESTIMATED PRECIPITABLE
WATER IS AS FOLLOWS:-(for
16/06/2013 4.0mm
17/06/2013 4.0mm
18&19/06/2013 No(significant)rain
20/06/2013 0.5mm
21/06/2013(A/N) 3.0mm
22/06/2013 0.4mm
THE MAX TEMPS WILL SEE A RISE OF ABOUT
10 DEG CEL AND MIN ABOUT 04 DEG CEL (COMPARED TO TODAY’S TEMPS) TOWARDS THE
WEEK END.
THERE WILL BE SLIGHT VARIATION ELSE WHERE IN THE NAGPUR REGION. Viz
KATOL, ARVI etc AREA WILL GET T/S WITH RAINS ON 21st AND 22nd
WITH APPROX 5-8 mm OF RAINS AND NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE(compared to Nagpur) IN
THE AMRAVATI & AKOLA REGION.
THE RAINS IN THE VIDARBHA REGION WILL SEE A RECEDING
TREND IN THE NEXT WEEK TILL 22nd JUNE 2013.
THE FARMERS ARE ADVISED
TO WAIT FOR SECOND GOOD SPELL OF RAINS WHICH WILL ENSURE SUFFICIENT SOIL
MOISTURE FOR GERMINATIONOF SEEDS FOR A BUMPER HARVEST.
Milind Phadke
+919890317557
Wednesday, June 12, 2013
SOUTH WEST MONSOON IN 2013 AT NAGPUR
THE SOUTH WEST MONSOON IS ACTIVE IN NAGPUR AND AROUND.
THE ENTIRE VIDARBHA REGION HAS RECEIVED GOOD RAINFALL IN THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF MONSOON IN 2013.
THE SW MONSOON ENTERED IN VID ON 08th JUNE 2013 AND NAGPUR ON 10th JUNE 2013. FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RAINS HAVE BEEN REPORTED FROM OTHER PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIA ALSO AND THE NORTHERLY MARCH OF SWM CONTINUES WITH GOOD SPEED. THE DAILY SPATIAL RAINFALL MAP SHOWS NEAR NORMAL(+IveANAMOLY). THUNDERSTORMS WITH RAIN WILL BE EXPERIENCED AT NAGPUR, POST AFTERNOON ON 12th JUNE 2013 AND 13th A/N THROUGH THE NIGHT OF 13/14 AND MORNING HOURS OF 14th JUNE 2013 WITH FEW RAINS ON 15th EVENING AS WELL. A PLEASENT WEEKEND ON SUNDAY JUNE THE 16th 2013 IS IN STORE WITH A COOL BREEZE OF AROUND 15Kmph AND CLOUDY SKIES.
THE RAINFALL ACROSS TIME SERIES AS ON DATE IS IN EXCESS OF NORMAL FOR THE CENTRAL INDIA REGION. (map source:-IMD)
Milind Phadke
+919890317557
milind1966@gmail.com
Sunday, June 9, 2013
WELCOME TO MONSOON 2013 IN VIDARBHA
THE MONSOON HAS ALREADY ENTERED IN VIDARBHA TODAY AND THERE HAS BEEN A BIT OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY GOING ON WITH FEW TO VERY FEW RAINFALL IN PATCHES FROM ABOUT A WEEK IN AND AROUND NAGPUR.
DUE TO UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THERE WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AT NAGPUR ON 11th JUNE 2013 AND LIGHT TO MODERATE RF ACTIVITY ON 12th JUNE'13 WITH FEW THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS WELL.
SOME PARTS OF VIDARWELCOME MONSOBHA, PARTICULARLY EAST VID WILL GET HEAVY TO VERY RAINFALL ON 11th JUNE '13.
THE MAX TEMP WILL DROP BY 08-10 DEG CEL (AS COMPARED TO TODAY'S TEMP) WITH STRONG GROUND WINDS AROUND 20Kmph. THE RAINS WILL CEASE AT NAGPUR (WITH ONLY ONE OR TWO DROPS---TRACE{UNMEASUREABLE}) FROM 13th JUNE '13 AND CLOUDY WX WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THROUGH OUT THE WEEK.
Milind Phadke
+919890317557
milind1966@gmail.com
Friday, June 7, 2013
ONSET OF MONSOON IN 2013
MOST OF THE CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR EARLY ONSET OF MONSOON IN VID AND PARTICULARLY AT NAGPUR.
THE MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE RAINFALL
ANOMALY CHART SHOWS ABOUT +4 TO +6 (mm/day) FOR THE WEEK 10th JUNE
TO 16th JUNE 2013
FOR THE CENTRAL INDIA WHICH COVERS MOST
PART OF THE VID. EVER SINCE THE ONSET OVER A& N ISLANDS AND KERALA THE
MONSOON CURRENT IS MAINTAINING GOOD SPEED OF ADVANCEMENT, PARTICULARLY THE
ARABIAN SEA BRANCH.
THE IOD AND ENSO ARE CONTINUOUSLY MONITORED NOT ONLY FOR ONSET OF MONSOON BUT ALSO FOR IT’S SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION.
THE NCEP-CFS (Climate Forecast system or
Coupled Forecast system v2) INDICATES A LITTLE LESS THAN NORMAL (VALUE WISE)
RAIN FALL TILL AUGUST 2013 AND THEN NORMAL RAINFALL (NEAR THE CLIMATOLOGICAL
MEAN VALUES) TILL OCTOBER 2013.
HOWEVER FOR NAGPUR, 10th TO
12th JUNE 2013 WE WILL SEE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH FEW
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON 10th.
IF WE ARE IN A HURRY TO DECLARE ONSET
OF MONSOON OVER NAGPUR, IT CAN BE DONE ON 12th/13th JUNE
AND MOST PARTS OF VID WILL GET WIDESPREAD RAINS DURING THIS PERIOD.
Milind Phadke
+919890317557
http://milindphadke.blogspot.com
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