THE REPUBLIC DAY CELEBRATIONS IN NE-MP,CHTG AND VID ARE LIKELY TO BE GREETED BY A FEW DROPS OF RAIN.
THE NAGPUR SKIES CONTINUE TO BE CLOUDY, BUT SEVERAL MODEL RUNS AT DIFFERENT TIME (of observations) AND DIFF. DATES ARE GIVING CONFUSING AND RATHER CONFLICTING OUTPUTS COMPELLING ME TO A MID-WEEK UPDATE.
THE LIFTED INDEX (a common measure of determining atmospheric instability at lower levels) IS ALTERNATING FROM NEUTRAL TO NEGATIVE (SHOWALTER INDEX also –ive) AND THE CAPE ON +IVE SIDE INDICATES INSTABILITY.
A FEW DROPS OF RAIN TODAY MIDNIGHT AND/OR EARLY MORNING ON 26th JAN 2012 WILL OCCUR AT NAGPUR.
SKY TO REMAIN CLOUDY TILL 28th JAN AND PARTLY CLOUDY FROM 29th JAN.
THE POSSIBILITY OF RAIN ON 29th IS REDUCED TO A MERE 05% ONLY.
A SHARP DROP OF ABOUT 4 DEG CEL (-0.5/+0.5) IN MIN TEMP WILL OCCUR ON 29th JAN AND WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN AROUND 16(-0.5/+1.5) DEG CEL.
THESE KIND OF BOUNCY TEMPERATURES ARE GENERALLY SEEN IN THE TRANSITION MONTH OF MARCH BUT DUE TO W/D GETTING IN TO LOWER LEVELS AND A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN THE CENTRAL-EASTERN PARTS OF INDIA (around chtg and vidarbha) A LARGE VARIATION IS SEEN.
I EXPRESS MY SINCERE THANKS TO Shri MAKARAND MANDE FROM IMD PUNE TO HAVE POINTED OUT THE ERROR OF REPORTING “REPUBLIC DAY” AS “INDEPENDENCE DAY” (in my earlier post) AND ALO APPRECIATE HIS GUIDANCE AND ENCOURAGEMENT WHICH I HAVE BEEN RECEIVING FROM TIME TO TIME.
Milind Phadke+919890317557
