Updated weather forecast for Centra India

 

Below is video image of SWly winds which are likely to cover major parts of Arabian sea and Bay of Bengal by the end of May 2026, bringing in more upper air moisture and trigger pre-monsoon over lage parts of India.

The NLM(Northern Limits of Monsoon)as per IMD (India Meteorological Department) as on date 26th May 2026 is re-shared below::-

On 28th May 2026 TS activity with little rain in the nearby areas of Amravati Gadchiroli Bramhapuri Rajnandgaon Bilaspur Ambikapur and Chindwara.

On 30th May 2026 TS activity with little rain in the nearby areas of Bilaspur Ambikapur

On 31st May 2026 TS activity with little rain in the nearby areas of Nagpur Amravati Yeotmal Chandrapur, also heavy pre-monsoon is very likely in and around Betul Chindwara Gondia Raipur Bilaspur and Ambikapur

Weather Forecast for Nagpur and around till 02nd June 2026

 

Partly cloudy skies over Nagpur till 2nd June 2026 will help in bringing down the maximum temperatures. 

Increase in humidity will make the comfort index degrade towards intolerance and also increase chance of occurrence of thunderstorms.

Increasing convective activity and pre-monsoon activity from 29th May 2026 till 01st June 2026 may be noted, alongwith very light rainfall in some parts of Nagpur and around.

Also 4-5°C drop in max min temps at Nagpur is possible till 02nd June 2026.

Elsewhere in vidarbha::-

On 25th may 2026 Possibility of convective activity in parts of Akola Amravati and Yeotmal.

On 26th May 2026 TS in and around Chandrapur, Washim and Yeotmal.

On 27th May 2026 TS in and around chandrapur and Washim and Akola

On 28th May 2026 TS in and around

Nagpur Akola Amravati and W MP around Betul Chindwara and CHTG around Bilaspur and Shahdol.

During this period extremely heavy pre-monsoon activities with TS/Lightening/Rains will be noted in Eastern and Southern parts of India.

Always refer to IMD for weather forecast.

Weather Forecast for Nagpur and parts of Chattisgarh region for second fortnight of May 2026

 

The maximum temperatures will continue to rise for next 4-5 days till 18th May 2026with partly cloudy skies at times.

Thunderstorms and squally weather is likely around next weekend 23-24 May 2026. 

Light to moderate rainfall at isolated places will mark the beginning of pre-monsoon.

The "nau-tapa" ::-

When the sun enters the rohini nakshatra, theoretically higher temperatures are recorded which is helpful in good monsoon rainfall.

This year in 2026 the Sun enters rohini nakshatra on May 25th which will bring scorching and intense heat which will help in better and robust monsoon.

North India will particularly be affected from 25th May 2026 to 02nd June 2026 and severe heatwaves are expected whereas in central parts of India this phenomenon will occur about a week to ten days early, as stated above.

Also monsoon is likely to hit Andamans in a day or two, on 15-16 May 2026 similar to early onset last year 2025.

Picture courtesy 👇 "Skymet"

Always refer to IMD for weather forecast.

Global hazards outlook

The above pic shared is from climate prediction centre courtesy NOAA and allgood and the probability of formation of tropical cyclone till month end (may 2026) is 20% to 40% and no major hazardous weather is predicted for India and around.

Always refer to IMD for weather forecast.

Conditions favourable for onset of Monsoon over Andamans

 Conditions are favourable for advancement of Monsoon-2026 over Andaman and Nicobar islands and further into BoB.

These inputs are from my friend and senior colleague Mr a s khan :--

Good news: Conditions are becoming highly favorable for monsoon onset over the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands during May 20-30. As per GFS, a nice upper-level anticyclone is likely to form over Central India, pushing the westerly jet stream further north and stabilizing easterlies over most parts of South India. This indicates that the mean tropospheric meridional temperature gradient is likely to reverse rapidly after May 20 and will also allow the angular momentum conserving overturning monsoon circulation to stabilize over the Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal, and some parts of South India by the end of the month.  

Video: 150 hPa winds in GFS on May 25 from Windy

Courtesy 👆🏻Shri AS Khan