RAINFALL IN THE FIRST WEEK OF 'AASHAADH' MONTH AT NAGPUR

THE 'AASHAAD' & 'SHRAAVAN' MONTHS IN THE HINDU CALENDAR (ALMANAC) GIVES RAINS ACROSS INDIA; AS MUCH AS 80% OF THE TOTAL MONSOON RAINS OCCUR IN THESE TWO MONTHS.

THE 'AASHAAD' IS STARTING FROM TUESDAY AND THE NAGPUR WHICH WAS POISED FOR A PLEASANT WEEKEND (THE END OF 'JYESHTHA' MONTH), THE NAGPUR SKIES, TODAY; ARE SLATED TO BE CONVECTIVE AND PRECIPITATE; HEAVILY IN SOME PARTS OF CITY AS THE LARGE AND TOWERING CUMULOUS SEEN FROM THE MORNING, IS SLOWLY BUILDING UP AND THE SUPPLY OF HEAT; FROM THE GROUND; DUE TO RADIATION; CONTINUES.

BY THE DAY END; IT WILL HAVE SUFFICIENT ENERGY TO GIVE THUNDER/LIGHTENING IN THE EVENING HOURS; TODAY.

THE NEXT WEEK WILL BE WET AS WELL; BECAUSE RAINFALL WILL OCCUR DAILY; MOSTLY DURING EVENING/LATE EVENING/NIGHT HOURS.

THE DRY BULB TEMP TO REMAIN 30Deg Cel AND ABOVE WITH HUMIDITY(Rel) 80% OR MORE, WE MAY ENTER INTO BREAK-MONSOON PHASE IN THE COMING WEEK/S.

THE PICTURE IS MORE OR LESS THE SAME IN OTHER PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIA (250 Km radius from Nagpur).

SOME FAIR WEATHER CONDITION ON 13^th AND 14^th JULY 2013 (the atmospheric instability is reducing) AT NAGPUR, WILL AGAIN MAKE WEEKEND ENJOYABLE.

Milind Phadke

+919890317557

milind1966@gmail.com

ANOTHER SPELL OF REDUCED RAIN IN NAGPUR REGION

AFTER RAINING HEAVILY FOR ALMOST TWO DAYS NOW, THE RAINS WILL REDUCE IN THE NEXT WEEK AND THE MAX TEMP WILL RISE BY ABOUT 7-8 Deg CEL WITH HUMIDITY (RELATIVE) AROUND 60-70%.

 

THE 187.4 mm RAINFALL RECORDED AT NAGPUR IN LAST 24 hrs IS ALMOST EQUIVALENT TO MONTHLY TOTAL R/F FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE, THOUGH NOT HIGHEST IN 24 hrs.

SINCE THE LOW PR AREA IS SHIFTING NW wards, THERE WILL BE REDUCED R/F ACTIVITY FROM 27th A/F TILL NEXT TUESDAY, WITH OCCASIONAL FEW DROPS OF RAIN (REMEMBER this is monsoon season) till 30TH JUNE.

THIS WILL LEAVE SOME TIME FOR THE FARMERS TO SOW THE SEEDS IN THEIR FIELDS, FOR WHICH IT IS THE RIPE TIME NOW.

THE ADVANCEMENT OF MONSOON COVERING ENTIRE INDIA IN ABOUT 20 DAYS, IS UNUSUAL THOUGH IN THIS DECADE, IS ALSO A PHENOMENA FOR RE SEARCHING, WHERE A SHIFTING (delaying Onset) OF MONSOON; AND SO THE SOWING SEASONS; WAS NOTICEABLE.

I REMEMBER IN PAIN ALL THOSE WHO LEFT FOR HEAVENLY ABODE IN THE MAYHEM IN UTTARKHAND. INTERESTINGLY GOOGLE'S CONTRIBUTION (in the following link) IS PRAISE WORTHY. :-  http://www.google.org/crisisresponse/uttarakhand-flood-2013.html

Milind Phadke

+919890317557

milind1966@gmail.com

RECEDING RAIN IN VIDARBHA IN THE SECOND WEEK OF MONSOON 2013

THE INTENSITY OF RAINFALL AS WELL AS THE QUANTITY OF RAINFALL WILL REDUCE IN THE NEXT WEEK OVER VID AS A WHOLE.

QUANTITATIVELY THE RAINS WILL MAKE FEEL THEIR PRESENCE ON & OFF, REMINDING US THAT WE ARE ENTERING INTO THE SECOND/THIRD WEEK OF MONSOON.

HOWEVER THE NAGPUR SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOUDY AND WE WILL GET SOME RESPITE FROM VERY GOOD FIRST SPELL OF RAINS AT NAGPUR.

THE FIGUREWISE ESTIMATED PRECIPITABLE WATER IS AS FOLLOWS:-(for NAGPUR):-

16/06/2013                                          4.0mm

17/06/2013                                          4.0mm

18&19/06/2013                No(significant)rain

20/06/2013                                          0.5mm

21/06/2013(A/N)                                 3.0mm

22/06/2013                                          0.4mm

THE MAX TEMPS WILL SEE A RISE OF ABOUT 10 DEG CEL AND MIN ABOUT 04 DEG CEL (COMPARED TO TODAY’S TEMPS) TOWARDS THE WEEK END.

THERE WILL BE SLIGHT VARIATION ELSE WHERE IN THE NAGPUR REGION. Viz KATOL, ARVI etc AREA WILL GET T/S WITH RAINS ON 21^st AND 22^nd WITH APPROX 5-8 mm OF RAINS AND NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE(compared to Nagpur) IN THE AMRAVATI & AKOLA REGION.

THE RAINS IN THE VIDARBHA REGION WILL SEE A RECEDING TREND IN THE NEXT WEEK TILL 22^nd JUNE 2013.

THE FARMERS ARE ADVISED TO WAIT FOR SECOND GOOD SPELL OF RAINS WHICH WILL ENSURE SUFFICIENT SOIL MOISTURE FOR GERMINATIONOF SEEDS FOR A BUMPER HARVEST.

Milind Phadke

+919890317557

milind1966@gmail.com

SOUTH WEST MONSOON IN 2013 AT NAGPUR

THE SOUTH WEST MONSOON IS ACTIVE IN NAGPUR AND AROUND.

THE ENTIRE VIDARBHA REGION HAS RECEIVED GOOD RAINFALL IN THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF MONSOON IN 2013.

THE SW MONSOON ENTERED IN VID ON 08th JUNE 2013 AND NAGPUR ON 10th JUNE 2013. FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RAINS HAVE BEEN REPORTED FROM OTHER PARTS OF CENTRAL INDIA ALSO AND THE NORTHERLY MARCH OF SWM CONTINUES WITH GOOD SPEED. THE DAILY SPATIAL RAINFALL MAP SHOWS NEAR NORMAL(+IveANAMOLY). THUNDERSTORMS WITH RAIN WILL BE EXPERIENCED AT NAGPUR, POST AFTERNOON ON 12th JUNE 2013 AND 13th A/N THROUGH THE NIGHT OF 13/14 AND MORNING HOURS OF 14th JUNE 2013 WITH FEW RAINS ON 15th EVENING AS WELL. A PLEASENT WEEKEND ON SUNDAY JUNE THE 16th 2013 IS IN STORE WITH A COOL BREEZE OF AROUND 15Kmph AND CLOUDY SKIES.

THE RAINFALL ACROSS TIME SERIES AS ON DATE IS IN EXCESS OF NORMAL FOR THE CENTRAL INDIA REGION. (map source:-IMD)

Milind Phadke

+919890317557

milind1966@gmail.com

WELCOME TO MONSOON 2013 IN VIDARBHA

THE MONSOON HAS ALREADY ENTERED IN VIDARBHA TODAY AND THERE HAS BEEN A BIT OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY GOING ON WITH FEW TO VERY FEW RAINFALL IN PATCHES FROM ABOUT A WEEK IN AND AROUND NAGPUR.

DUE TO UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THERE WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AT NAGPUR ON 11th JUNE 2013 AND LIGHT TO MODERATE RF ACTIVITY ON 12th JUNE'13 WITH FEW THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS WELL.

SOME PARTS OF VIDARWELCOME MONSOBHA, PARTICULARLY EAST VID WILL GET HEAVY TO VERY RAINFALL ON 11th JUNE '13.

THE MAX TEMP WILL DROP BY 08-10 DEG CEL (AS COMPARED TO TODAY'S TEMP) WITH STRONG GROUND WINDS AROUND 20Kmph. THE RAINS WILL CEASE AT NAGPUR (WITH ONLY ONE OR TWO DROPS---TRACE{UNMEASUREABLE}) FROM 13th JUNE '13 AND CLOUDY WX WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THROUGH OUT THE WEEK.

Milind Phadke

+919890317557

milind1966@gmail.com