NAGPUR WEATHER & RUN UP TO THE MONSOON

PARTLY CLOUDY TO MAINLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER NAGPUR TILL 30th MAY 2011. THE GROUND WIND IS MOSTLY SET TO N'ly AND FALL OF SURFACE PRESSURE ABOUT 10 mb OVER THE WEEK IS ANTICIPATED. DAY TEMPERATURE WILL BEGIN TO RISE FROM 27th AND THUNDERSTORM WITH/WITHOUT RAIN IS EXPECTED ON 24th AND 26th EXTENDED TILL MORNING OF 27th MAY 2011. HOT WINDS MAY BLOW ON 30th AND 31st MAY 2011.

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REDUCED RAINFALL IN 2011

DUE TO LA NINA CONDITIONS THERE WAS AN ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL IN INDIA IN THE LAST YEAR BUT IS NOW RETURNING TO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS TO THE ENSO (EL NIÑO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION) INDEX BEING 0.4 DEG. DUE TO THIS THE DAY MAXIMUM IN THE SUMMER WAS (IS) TOO LOW AND THE SUSTAINED HEATING IS NOT BUILD UP AS 'HEAT LOW' IN THE NORTHWEST INDIA, ADJOINING PAKISTAN, WHICH IS BEING KEENLY SOUGHT AFTER BY METEOROLOGISTS. TILL THE END OF MAY THERE ARE NO SIGN OF HEATWAVES AND WE ARE ACTUALLY EXPERIENCING PLEASENT AND WET WEATHER CONDITIONS INSTEAD OF DRY AND HOT WEATHER.

THIS WILL AFFECT THE MONSOON AND WILL HAVE A REDUCING EFFECT.

THE SW MONSOON WILL HAVE A WEAKER AND DELAYED START TO BE FOLLOWED BY A BURST FROM MID-SEASON TILL THE END. THUS WE WILL RECEIVE LESS RAINFALL THAN NORMAL, IN SOME POCKETS AND ENHANCED PRECIPITATION IN THE NE INDIA.

THE HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE (OF LA NIÑA) DURING THE LAST 150 YEARS HAVE A TENDENCY TO DISAPPEAR IN THE SUMMER, THEN THEY COME BACK AND THE LA NINA PATTERN COULD REDEVELOP NEXT WINTER, ACCORDING TO CLIMATE RESEARCHER KLAUS WOLTER. HE SAID "HISTORICALLY, IF YOU LOOK AT TWO-YEAR LA NIÑAS, THE SECOND YEAR IS USUALLY MUCH LOWER THAN THE FIRST YEAR.” THIS COULD BE ILLUSTRATED BY THE FACT THAT WHILE NIÑO 3.4 INDEX HAS TURNED NEUTRAL, ANOTHER KEY LA NIÑA INDEX, SOUTHERN OSCILLATION INDEX (SOI) REMAINS STRONGLY POSITIVE. THE LATEST 30-DAY SOUTHERN OSCILLATION INDEX (SOI) VALUE (+30.2) IS ONLY A LITTLE SHORT OF THE HIGHEST APRIL MONTHLY VALUE ON RECORD (+31.7, RECORDED IN 1904), AND HAS REMAINED CONSISTENTLY HIGH THROUGHOUT THE EVENT.

THIS MEANS THE CHANCES OF NE MONSOON BEING ON THE ABOVE NORMAL SIDE ARE HIGH. WINTER WILL BE COLD BUT IT WOULD BE MUCH MILDER THAN THE RECORD COLD LAST YEAR. 



FALLING IN LINE, THE VIDARBHA WILL MISS THE NORMAL ONSET DATE AND IN ALL PROBABILITY WILL BE BEYOND THE 10th JUNE 2011. 

Milind Phadke

+919890317557

NAGPUR WEATHER

THE NAGPUR WEATHER WILL BE DRY FROM 20th MAY 2011 TILL 27th MAY 2011, BUT ABOUT 25% CHANCES OF RAIN/THUNDERSTORM ON 19th MAY 2011 (TODAY) IN THE LATE EVENING OR NIGHT. PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH VERY LESS CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM/RAIN WILL PREVAIL ON 25th MAY 2011. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MAY FALL ABOUT TWO DEGREES IN THE NEXT WEEK FROM 21st MAY 2011 TILL 26th MAY 2011 DUE TO UPPER WINDS.

I AM PRESENTLY IN THE MID WAY THROUGH THE TRAINING AND MID TERM EXAMS ARE OVER TODAY.

Milind Phadke

+91989317557

http://milindphadke.blogspot.com/

AMENDMENT TO RECRUITMENT RULES FOR SCIENTIFIC POSTS

Modified FCS for Scientists based on 6th CPC recommendations issued in this Department's OM of even number dated 10.9.2010. It has been laid down that assessment of Scientists from 1.1.2011 shall be done according to the revised provisions of the scheme.

Accordingly, all the Ministries and Departments were advised to initiate action for review of the provisions of FCS and amend their recruitment rules to bring the scheme in their organization in conformity with the guidelines of DOPT.

The proposal for amendment of the RRs for incorporating the revised scheme have not been received from most of the Scientific Ministries and Departments. The revised guidelines have been issued in September 2010 giving sufficient time for the Ministries and Departments to take action for amendment of the RRs. The guidelines of DOPT issued earlier make it clear that the promotions under FCS shall be from a prospective date only after the competent authority has approved the same.

Under the circumstances, action should have been taken by now to amend the RRs so that assessment of Scientists could be carried as per the revised Scheme.

Accordingly the Ministries and Departments are advised to take immediate action in this regard to amend the RRs so that assessment of Scientists could be carried as per the revised Scheme.

Milind Phadke

+919890317557



NAGPUR WEATHER

THE NAGPUR WEATHER FROM 03rd MAY TILL 11th MAY IN NAGPUR WILL BE FAIRLY DRY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25%. A BIT OF CLOUDING ON 06th MAY 2011 AND MAINLY CLOUDY ON 10th MAY IS EXPECTED. ONLY 10% CHANCE (AT PRESENT) OF THUNDERY DEVELOPMENT IN THE EVENING OF 11th MAY 2011 WITH ONE OR TWO DROP OF RAIN. THE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE WILL BE IN THE RANGE OF 42 DEG CEL (+1/-1).

Milind Phadke

+91989317557

WORLD'S WORST NUCLEAR INCIDENTS

ALTHOUGH THE JAPANESE INCIDENT NOW EQUATES TO CHERNOBYL ON THE INTERNATIONAL SCALE, THE TWO ACCIDENTS ARE DIFFERENT IN A NUMBER OF IMPORTANT WAYS. IN CHERNOBYL IT WAS THE REACTOR CORE ITSELF THAT EXPLODED, RELEASING A HUGE AMOUNT OF RADIOACTIVE MATERIAL IN A VERY SHORT SPACE OF TIME. FUKUSHIMA EXPERIENCED A LESS CRITICAL HYDROGEN EXPLOSION.



CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS PROFESSOR STEPHEN LINCOLN, OF ADELAIDE UNIVERSITY, SAID THE MAIN WORRY WAS THE FOOD STOCK IN THE OCEAN, WHERE MUCH OF THE RADIOACTIVE MATERIAL WAS BEING RELEASED .WHILE ONE OF THE RADIOACTIVE SUBSTANCES, IODINE-131, HAD A HALF-LIFE OF NINE DAYS, TWO OTHERS - CAESIUM-137 AND STRONTIUM-90 - COULD BE MORE HARMFUL IN THE LONG TERM AS THEY HAD HALF-LIVES OF 30 YEARS, HESAID.

A HALF-LIFE IS THE TIME TAKEN FOR HALF OF A SAMPLE OF A RADIOACTIVE ISOTOPE TO DECAY INTO OTHER MATERIALS.

"[PEOPLE] SHOULD NOT VENTURE INTO THE OCEAN [WHERE THE RADIOACTIVE MATERIALS ARE BEING RELEASED]; THEY SHOULD NOT EAT ANY FISH OR SEAWEED FROM THE OCEAN. "THE LIVING SPECIES LIKELY TO BE MOST AFFECTED ARE SHELLFISH BECAUSE THEY ARE STATIONARY WHEREAS FISH THAT SWIM MAY PASS THROUGH THE AREA AND OUT AGAIN. THE SHELLFISH SUCH AS MUSSELS, OYSTERS AND CLAMS CERTAINLY ACCUMULATE HIGH LEVELS OF RADIOACTIVITY. "IF THEY CAN STOP THE LEAKS, THEN THE OCEAN CAN DISPERSE THE RADIOACTIVITY UNTIL IT BECOMES NO MORE THAN BACKGROUND."

IMPACT OF LEAKS

THE NUCLEAR SAFETY COMMISSION OF JAPAN ANNOUNCED IN A STATEMENT THAT THE CRISIS LEVEL AT THE FUKUSHIMA DAIICHI PLANT WAS BEING RAISED, ADDING THAT IT WAS A PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT WHICH REQUIRED FURTHER TECHNICAL EVALUATION BY SPECIALISTS.

THE LEVEL SEVEN SIGNIFIES A "MAJOR ACCIDENT" WITH "WIDER CONSEQUENCES" THAN THE PREVIOUS LEVEL, OFFICIALS SAY.

"WE HAVE UPGRADED THE SEVERITY LEVEL TO SEVEN AS THE IMPACT OF RADIATION LEAKS HAS BEEN WIDESPREAD FROM THE AIR, VEGETABLES, TAP WATER AND THE OCEAN," SAID MINORU OOGODA OF JAPAN'S NUCLEAR AND INDUSTRIAL SAFETY AGENCY (NISA), THE GOVERNMENT'S NUCLEAR WATCHDOG. REPORTING THE COMMISSION'S DECISION, THE IAEA SAID PREVIOUS LEVEL FIVE RATINGS HAD BEEN PROVIDED SEPARATELY FOR ACCIDENTS AT REACTORS 1, 2 AND 3 BUT HAD NOW BEEN COMBINED AS A SINGLE EVENT. ANOTHER AFFECTED UNIT, REACTOR 4, HAS RETAINED ITS LEVEL THREE RATING, IT SAID. ONE OFFICIAL FROM TEPCO SAID THAT RADIATION LEAKS HAD NOT STOPPED COMPLETELY AND COULD EVENTUALLY EXCEED THOSE AT CHERNOBYL, REUTERS NEWS AGENCY REPORTED. HOWEVER, A NUCLEAR SAFETY AGENCY SPOKESMAN TOLD REPORTERS THE LEAKS WERE STILL SMALL COMPARED TO THOSE AT THE PLANT IN UKRAINE, THEN PART OF THE SOVIET UNION. "IN TERMS OF VOLUME OF RADIOACTIVE MATERIALS RELEASED, OUR ESTIMATE SHOWS IT IS ABOUT 10% OF WHAT WAS RELEASED BY CHERNOBYL," HE SAID. THE DECISION TO RAISE THE THREAT LEVEL WAS MADE AFTER RADIATION OF A TOTAL UP TO 630,000 TERABEQUERELS HAD BEEN ESTIMATED AT THE STRICKEN PLANT.

WORLD'S WORST NUCLEAR INCIDENTS

LEVEL 7 ACCIDENTS ON THE INTERNATIONAL NUCLEAR EVENT SCALE CORRESPOND TO THE RELEASE INTO THE EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT OF RADIOACTIVE MATERIALS EQUAL TO MORE THAN TENS OF THOUSANDS OF TERABECQUERELS OF RADIOACTIVE IODINE 131. ONE TERABECQUEREL EQUALS 1 TRILLION BECQUERELS.

LEVEL 7: CHERNOBYL, UKRAINE, 1986 - EXPLOSION AND FIRE IN OPERATIONAL REACTOR, FALLOUT OVER THOUSANDS OF SQUARE KILOMETRES, POSSIBLE 4,000 CANCER CASES

LEVEL 7: FUKUSHIMA, 2011 - TSUNAMI AND POSSIBLY EARTHQUAKE DAMAGE FROM SEISMIC ACTIVITY BEYOND PLANT DESIGN, LEADING TO...?

LEVEL 6: KYSHTYM, RUSSIA, 1957 - EXPLOSION IN WASTE TANK LEADING TO HUNDREDS OF CANCER CASES, CONTAMINATION OVER HUNDREDS OF SQUARE KILOMETRES.

LEVEL 5: WINDSCALE, UK, 1957 - FIRE IN OPERATING REACTOR, RELEASE OF CONTAMINATION IN LOCAL AREA, POSSIBLE 240 CANCER CASES.

LEVEL 5: THREE MILE ISLAND, US, 1979 - INSTRUMENT FAULT LEADING TO LARGE-SCALE MELTDOWN, SEVERE DAMAGE TO REACTOR CORE.

Milind Phadke

+919890317557