AT 0900 UTC ON Feb 11 THE TROPICAL STORM 'BINGIZA' LAYED POSITION NEAR 14.2 South LATITUDE AND 53.7 East LONGITUDE, WHICH WAS EARLIER QUASI STATIONARY. IT WILL SLOWLY INTENSIFY, THE MAX WINDS AT PRESENT ARE 80Kmph. A LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORM IS IN OPEN WATERS AND THE TEMPERATURES IN THE TOP REGION OF THE CLOUD WERE LESS THAN -50 deg CEL. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION FROM THE LOWER LEVELS MAY BECOME WEAKER IF PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND BECAUSE OF WINDSHEAR MAY MOVE NWly(MEASURED FROM THE CENTRE OF THE STORM) BECAUSE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH (AN ELONGATED AREA) OF LOW PRESSURE. BELOW IS AN IMAGE AT 0630 UTC OF Feb 10.
THE MONITORING STAGE SHOWED AN INTENSE AND POWERFUL THUNDERSTORM IN THE CENTRE OF LOW PRESSURE AND REACHED AT AN HEIGHT OF ABOUT 15 Km.
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TROPICAL STORM BINGIZA |
A MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT A STRONG CONVECTION IS WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION AND THE MICROWAVE IMAGER SHOWS A LARGE AREA HAD A MODERATE RAINFALL SPEEDS UPTO 40mm PER HOUR.
THE ENTIRE WEEK STARTING TOMORROW MONDAY THE 14 Feb OVER NAGPUR WILL BE CLOUDY. THE SWly WINDS UPTO 600 mb AND WSWly WINDS AT 500 mb WILL BRING IN SOME MOISTURE AND RESULT IN THUNDERSTROM ACTIVITY IN THE WEEK END ON SATURDAY THE 19th. HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE AROUND 85% ON 19th AND A VERY LIGHT THUNDERSTOM WITH RAIN NOT EXCEEDING 05mm WILL ALSO BE PRESENT.
Milind Phadke
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