Correctness of weather forecast for Amravati

 On 26th May I had issued a weather forecast as follows ::--

...............On 28th May 2026 TS activity with little rain in the nearby areas of Amravati...........

This newspaper report proves it correct 👇 

Next weather forecast will be updated shortly. 

Always refer to IMD for weather forecast.

Updated weather forecast for Centra India

 

Below is video image of SWly winds which are likely to cover major parts of Arabian sea and Bay of Bengal by the end of May 2026, bringing in more upper air moisture and trigger pre-monsoon over lage parts of India.

The NLM(Northern Limits of Monsoon)as per IMD (India Meteorological Department) as on date 26th May 2026 is re-shared below::-

On 28th May 2026 TS activity with little rain in the nearby areas of Amravati Gadchiroli Bramhapuri Rajnandgaon Bilaspur Ambikapur and Chindwara.

On 30th May 2026 TS activity with little rain in the nearby areas of Bilaspur Ambikapur

On 31st May 2026 TS activity with little rain in the nearby areas of Nagpur Amravati Yeotmal Chandrapur, also heavy pre-monsoon is very likely in and around Betul Chindwara Gondia Raipur Bilaspur and Ambikapur

Weather Forecast for Nagpur and around till 02nd June 2026

 

Partly cloudy skies over Nagpur till 2nd June 2026 will help in bringing down the maximum temperatures. 

Increase in humidity will make the comfort index degrade towards intolerance and also increase chance of occurrence of thunderstorms.

Increasing convective activity and pre-monsoon activity from 29th May 2026 till 01st June 2026 may be noted, alongwith very light rainfall in some parts of Nagpur and around.

Also 4-5°C drop in max min temps at Nagpur is possible till 02nd June 2026.

Elsewhere in vidarbha::-

On 25th may 2026 Possibility of convective activity in parts of Akola Amravati and Yeotmal.

On 26th May 2026 TS in and around Chandrapur, Washim and Yeotmal.

On 27th May 2026 TS in and around chandrapur and Washim and Akola

On 28th May 2026 TS in and around

Nagpur Akola Amravati and W MP around Betul Chindwara and CHTG around Bilaspur and Shahdol.

During this period extremely heavy pre-monsoon activities with TS/Lightening/Rains will be noted in Eastern and Southern parts of India.

Always refer to IMD for weather forecast.

Weather Forecast for Nagpur and parts of Chattisgarh region for second fortnight of May 2026

 

The maximum temperatures will continue to rise for next 4-5 days till 18th May 2026with partly cloudy skies at times.

Thunderstorms and squally weather is likely around next weekend 23-24 May 2026. 

Light to moderate rainfall at isolated places will mark the beginning of pre-monsoon.

The "nau-tapa" ::-

When the sun enters the rohini nakshatra, theoretically higher temperatures are recorded which is helpful in good monsoon rainfall.

This year in 2026 the Sun enters rohini nakshatra on May 25th which will bring scorching and intense heat which will help in better and robust monsoon.

North India will particularly be affected from 25th May 2026 to 02nd June 2026 and severe heatwaves are expected whereas in central parts of India this phenomenon will occur about a week to ten days early, as stated above.

Also monsoon is likely to hit Andamans in a day or two, on 15-16 May 2026 similar to early onset last year 2025.

Picture courtesy 👇 "Skymet"

Always refer to IMD for weather forecast.

Global hazards outlook

The above pic shared is from climate prediction centre courtesy NOAA and allgood and the probability of formation of tropical cyclone till month end (may 2026) is 20% to 40% and no major hazardous weather is predicted for India and around.

Always refer to IMD for weather forecast.

Conditions favourable for onset of Monsoon over Andamans

 Conditions are favourable for advancement of Monsoon-2026 over Andaman and Nicobar islands and further into BoB.

These inputs are from my friend and senior colleague Mr a s khan :--

Good news: Conditions are becoming highly favorable for monsoon onset over the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands during May 20-30. As per GFS, a nice upper-level anticyclone is likely to form over Central India, pushing the westerly jet stream further north and stabilizing easterlies over most parts of South India. This indicates that the mean tropospheric meridional temperature gradient is likely to reverse rapidly after May 20 and will also allow the angular momentum conserving overturning monsoon circulation to stabilize over the Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal, and some parts of South India by the end of the month.  

Video: 150 hPa winds in GFS on May 25 from Windy

Courtesy 👆🏻Shri AS Khan

Monsoon 2026

As analysed earlier the weather patterns behave differently every year.

A low pressure area in BoB around mid-may could trigger early arrival of monsoon over India. 

Various weather models indicate faster advancement of monsoon in 2026 over Andamans and Kerala. 

This could also be recorded as earliest ever onset of monsoon over India. 

The rainfall variability in 2026 may be very wide from drought zones to flood zones. Central India specially Nagpur and around is more likely to be normal with some variability of longer than usual break-monsoon phases, W-vid is very likely to see above normal rainfall in monsoon-2026.

Always refer to IMD.

Insights to Monsoon 2026

Amidst widely circulated news about EL NINO making it's presence felt, probably strongest ever,as reported manytimes elsewhere, the pre-monsoon activities has begun since last 2-3 days in central India and noticeable downfall in maximum temperatures alongwith changes in the patterns of upper wind flow and some cloud coverage shows that peak-summer is almost over. Though year 2026 is predicted to be EL NINO year the Monsoon in Vidarbha region is likely to be normal and parts of West vid like Akola Buldhana may record more than normal or excess rainfall in the season. There is no need to panick for farmers of Vidarbha region. Always refer to IMD for weather forecast.

RAINFALL FORECAST TILL 15th JULY 2021 IN AND AROUND NAGPUR REGION

 RAINFALL FORECAST TILL 15th JULY 2021 IN AND AROUND NAGPUR REGION

पर्जन्यमान अंदाज

पुनर्वसू नक्षत्र पर्जन्य योग

6 जुलै  ते 20 जुलै 2021

ह्या वर्षी रोहिणी  व मृग नक्षत्रात पाऊस बेताचा  पण चांगला झाला,  मागे भाकीत केल्या प्रमाणे आद्रा नक्षत्रात पाऊस तुरळक ठिकाणी तो पण तुरळक पडला.

सुर्यानी दि 6 जुलै ला सकाळी 2.34वा पुनर्वसू नक्षत्रात प्रवेश केला. सर्याच्या ह्या नक्षत्रात असताना चंद्र रोहिणी ते अनुराधा ह्या नक्षत्रातून भ्रमण करत आहे.

सध्या मंगळ कर्क राशीत आश्लेषा  नक्षत्रातुन भ्रमण करत आहे,तो 20 ता  सिंह ह्याअग्नी तत्वाच्या राशीत भ्रमण करेल.बुध मृग ते पुनर्वसू, शुक्र आश्लेषा ते मघा नक्षत्रातुन , गुरू - शततारका, शनी- श्रवण, राहू- रोहिणी, व केतू- अनुराधा नक्षत्रातुन भ्रमण करत आहेत

एकंदरीत ह्या ग्रहांच्या  गोचरभ्रमण  स्थिती व गती,  प्रमाणे 

दि 7 जुलै ला पूर्व विदर्भातील चंद्रपूर, गडचिरोली जिल्ह्यातील काही ठिकाणी जोरदार वाऱ्यासह पण तुरळक पाऊस पडेल, 9 ता महाराष्ट्रतील पुष्कळ जिल्ह्यात पर्जन्य वृष्टी होईल. 12 ता. वाऱ्याची दिशा बदलेल व बंगालच्या उपसागरात कमी दाबाचा पट्टा तयार होईल ह्या मुळे  12 ते 16 जुलै दरम्यानच्या  नाशिक, अहमदनगर, मध्य महाराष्ट्र,  मराठवाड्यातील काही जिल्हे, तसेच पश्चिम महाराष्ट्र तील  पुणे,सोलापूर, सातारा, ह्या जिल्हात काही ठिकाणी पाऊस पडेल.

पश्चिम विदर्भातील अमरावती,अकोला, बुलढाणा,ह्या बहुतांश जिह्यात 14 ता नंतरच पाऊस येईल तो पण बेताचाच पडेल.  जोरदार वारा सुटेल, विजा चमकतील पण पाऊस तुरळक ठिकाणी तुरळक पडेल, साधारण 13-14 मिनिट किंवा जास्तीत जास्त 39 मिनिटे  पावसाची एक सर येईल.

पूर्व विदर्भातील चंद्रपूर, गडचिरोली, गोंदिया, भंडारा, वर्धा,नागपूर ह्या जिल्ह्यात पाऊस 14 - 16 जुलै दरम्यान  येईल.

15 जुलै नंतर पाऊस उत्तर भारत कडे आपला प्रवास सुरु करेल.

एकंदरीत संपूर्ण नक्षत्रात पाऊस सरासरी पेक्ष्या कमी आहे. सर्व शेतकरी बांधवांनी त्या प्रमाणे पिकांचे नियोजन करावे

पुढील पर्जन्यमानअंदाज 21जुलै ला.....

डॉ मुकुंद मोहोळकर

Ph.D (वेदांग ज्योतिष्य)

Ph D(Business Managemant)

9823116709

(SHARED HERE WITH DUE PERMISSION)

Nagpur weather outlook till 15th Jan 2017

The atmosphere will be stable with not much change in the weather parameters at Nagpur for the period 1^st fortnight of 2017.

The Max temp will see a gradual rise till 32 deg cel for about a week, then a gradual decline for 2-3 deg from the peak. A direct 2 deg fall is expected on 11^th Jan 2017 and in range (+2/-1) for about two days and then gradual rise till 31 deg cel.

The min temps will be in line too, rising and falling with max correspondingly and will be in the range 15-18 deg cel (climbing till 06^th jan) and six deg fall in next about five days (6-11 jan) and remain the range…..14 (-2/+1) deg cel.

The wind speed will however continue to be light to moderate throughout the fortnight.

Kite flying enthusiasts, may; however; feel dampened spirit; due to light wind from 12-15 jan 2017. The wind gusts will be moderate from 08^th jan ’17 till 12^th jan ’17 and will be 10-12 knots (10-20 kmph).

No chance of precipitation at Nagpur till 15^th jan 2017.
Always refer to authorized sites like IMD for wx forecasts.
(data source imd and various world weather sites)
Milind Phadke
+919890317557